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GBPUSD forecast

23 June 2010
Today chart

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Forecast of the week, 06/21–06/25
The pair is still trading along an uptrend having the upside target seen at resistance levels 1.5000/1.5065. The market has reached resistance 1.4926 by now, and relative support is found at level 1.4832. If the pair goes on rising above 1.4926, the upside momentum will grow stronger.

Otherwise, we should expect a downtrend to develop in case the pair goes below support level 1.4804, followed by further drop to support 1.4510. After that the pair will find an intermediate support at level 1.4698.

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Forecast monthly, June
After getting under level 1.4500 the pair went into the downtrend having the drop target seen at support level 1.4070. This trend remains in effect until the pair rises above level 1.4654.

In case the pair rises above level 1.4654, an uptrend will be started having the upside target set at resistance level 1.5100, while intermediate support will be found at level 1.4654.
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Quarterly forecast, May – July
After touching key support level 1.4260 the pair is trading along the “E-E+” downtrend. That support level may become the endpoint of current downtrend, and even the starting point of an uptrend if the market rises above level 1.5450.

Upon rising above level 1.5450, an uptrend will be developed with the upside target set at key resistance level 1.6900, from where a correction to support 1.5450 will be possible. Next, if the pair goes on above resistance 1.6900, the upside momentum will go stronger and the pair will head to resistance level 1.8530.

Otherwise, if level 1.4260 fails keeping the pair from downside attempts and the market drops below level 1.4100, the downtrend will be resumed and the pair will get to support level 1.3230.
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Yearly forecast, 2010 – 2011.
After touching key support level 1.4260 the pair is trading along a downtrend. If the market rises above level 1.5450, support level 1.4260 may become the starting point of an uptrend (taking into consideration the picture at weekly graph), and then the pair will get to key resistance 1.6900. A confident uptrend will be started as soon as the pair gets over that key resistance. In such case a “double bottom” trend-turning figure will be formed and the upside target will be set at intermediate resistance level 1.8530 (possibly accompanied by a correction to support 1.6900). If the market continues the upside after that, it will eventually find itself around key resistance 1.9800.

Otherwise, if the pair continues going down below key support 1.4260 and gets under level 1.4100, the downtrend will be resumed with the drop target set at intermediate support 1.3690. If the market continues the downside below that support, next target will be seen at support level 1.3230. That level is a strong support, however if the pair manages going under it, the downside momentum will grow even stronger, and the pair will eventually get to level 1.0000.

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